Dave’s Take

As someone who has worked in the ad biz for more than 20 years, I can honestly say that I’ve never seen the industry in as bad a shape as it is right now. Every advertising and marketing person I know is singing the blues, wondering if the outlook on our profession is as dismal as our imagination has led us to believe. Now we have factual proof that our fears are indeed based upon truth. In the recently released, “Advertising Age’s Agency Report – 2010″, the dismal state of affairs in which our industry currently wallows is spelled out in detail. While it documents how bad things truly are, it also gives us hope in reporting the corner has been turned and perhaps recovery is on its way.

The severity of the national decline in ad revenue is astounding. According to the report, 2009 witnessed the greatest decline in industry revenue in the 66 years Advertising Age has tracked it. Statistics reveal that total revenue for the American businesses of advertising, marketing, public relations and media services dropped 7.5% to a total of $28.4 billion spent last year. Not surprising, this rate just happens to exactly match the 7.8% drop in advertising/marketing/PR jobs in 2009. Even the ever-growing health care advertising market witnessed a decline of 1.6%. And despite the lowest cable and network broadcast rates in years, media placement agencies reported their net income fell over 10%. Event marketing took its medicine as well, with promotion-based agencies suffering through a 13% decline in revenue for 2009.

The final shot of bad news documented within the report is found in the number of registered agencies in the United States. Between 2008 and 2009, the total number of ad agencies dropped from 912 to 883. In regards to specific positions, U.S. agencies laid off a collective 58,400 jobs during that same time. A depressing 107,700 ad jobs have been lost since the recession began in 2007, with January of this year topping out with the lowest level of advertising employment since 1994.

But before we all jump off the nearest bridge we need to contemplate the good news the AA report has contained within its pages. It seems (hopefully) the worst has passed and the future is beginning to look brighter. Optimists point to all the major accounts in play as a sign the ad biz is gearing up for its rise from the ashes. There are even signs some of the major agencies are either preparing to or are actually hiring new employees. I sure hope that’s true, as even the most optimistic advertising professional has had their world turned upside down for the past three years. I think we all deserve a change of fortune and here’s to wishing 2010 is the year it happens.